Sassuolo vs Torino Prediction & Preview
SerieA · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SERIEA
Sassuolo vs Torino
Model pick: Sassuolo (41%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.38 – 1.22
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sassuolo | Torino |
|---|
| League position | #14 (0 pts) | #15 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.8 | 1.6 / 0.8 |
*Sassuolo shown at home, Torino shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sassuolo — last 5
DLLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 57% of home games go over 2.5.
Torino — last 5
WWWWL
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 47% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sassuolo (home) | Torino (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 47% |
SerieA — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.74
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 54%
Use these SerieA averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.38 vs 1.22):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Sassuolo or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance — Torino or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| Sassuolo clean sheet | 30% |
| Torino clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sassuolo is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Sassuolo are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Sassuolo vs Torino — FAQ
Who will win Sassuolo vs Torino?
Our statistical model makes Sassuolo the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Sassuolo 41%, draw 28%, Torino 31%.
Will both teams score in Sassuolo vs Torino?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Sassuolo vs Torino?
Expected goals are 1.38 for Sassuolo and 1.22 for Torino — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sassuolo vs Torino?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Sassuolo or draw is 67%.