SBTC vs Tiszaujvaros Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 12, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
SBTC vs Tiszaujvaros
Model pick: Tiszaujvaros (49%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.18 – 2.79
Total goals: 5.0
Over 2.5: 75%
Both teams score: 70%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| SBTC | Tiszaujvaros |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.5 | 0.5 / 2.0 |
*SBTC shown at home, Tiszaujvaros shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
SBTC — last 5
LL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Tiszaujvaros — last 5
LL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | SBTC (home) | Tiszaujvaros (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.7
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.18 vs 2.79):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-2 (6%) |
| Double chance — SBTC or draw (1X) | 48% |
| Double chance — Tiszaujvaros or draw (X2) | 69% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 82% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 96% / 4% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| SBTC clean sheet | 6% |
| Tiszaujvaros clean sheet | 11% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Tiszaujvaros is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. Despite playing away, Tiszaujvaros edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 5.0, this shapes as an open game (75% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ SBTC vs Tiszaujvaros — FAQ
Who will win SBTC vs Tiszaujvaros?
Our statistical model makes Tiszaujvaros the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: SBTC 31%, draw 20%, Tiszaujvaros 49%.
Will both teams score in SBTC vs Tiszaujvaros?
The model gives a 70% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in SBTC vs Tiszaujvaros?
Expected goals are 2.18 for SBTC and 2.79 for Tiszaujvaros — about 5.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in SBTC vs Tiszaujvaros?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-2 (6%). Double chance for SBTC or draw is 48%.