SC St.Tonis vs FC Monheim Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 13:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
SC St.Tonis vs FC Monheim
Model pick: FC Monheim (73%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.92 – 2.96
Total goals: 3.9
Over 2.5: 65%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| SC St.Tonis | FC Monheim |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 5.5 | 2.0 / 2.2 |
*SC St.Tonis shown at home, FC Monheim shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
SC St.Tonis — last 5
LLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
FC Monheim — last 5
LLWDW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | SC St.Tonis (home) | FC Monheim (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.59
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.92 vs 2.96):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (9%) |
| Double chance — SC St.Tonis or draw (1X) | 22% |
| Double chance — FC Monheim or draw (X2) | 91% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 87% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 90% / 10% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 54% / 46% |
| SC St.Tonis clean sheet | 5% |
| FC Monheim clean sheet | 40% |
🎯 Our Verdict
FC Monheim is the model's most likely outcome at
73%. Despite playing away, FC Monheim edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.9, this shapes as an open game (65% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ SC St.Tonis vs FC Monheim — FAQ
Who will win SC St.Tonis vs FC Monheim?
Our statistical model makes FC Monheim the most likely result at 73%. Full probabilities: SC St.Tonis 11%, draw 16%, FC Monheim 73%.
Will both teams score in SC St.Tonis vs FC Monheim?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in SC St.Tonis vs FC Monheim?
Expected goals are 0.92 for SC St.Tonis and 2.96 for FC Monheim — about 3.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in SC St.Tonis vs FC Monheim?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (9%). Double chance for SC St.Tonis or draw is 22%.