SC Weiz vs Hartberg Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Sep 04, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
SC Weiz vs Hartberg
Model pick: SC Weiz (67%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.35 – 0.09
Total goals: 1.4
Over 2.5: 30%
Both teams score: 24%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| SC Weiz | Hartberg |
|---|
| League position | #9 (39 pts) | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.5 / 1.8 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 40% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 2.25 |
*SC Weiz shown at home, Hartberg shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
SC Weiz — last 5
DLWDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 20% of the time; 80% of home games go over 2.5.
Hartberg — last 5
DLDL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | SC Weiz (home) | Hartberg (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-7-2 in 15 (2.5 / 1.8 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 20% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 50% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.22
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.35 vs 0.09):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (32%) |
| Double chance — SC Weiz or draw (1X) | 98% |
| Double chance — Hartberg or draw (X2) | 29% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 42% / 58% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 6% / 94% |
| SC Weiz clean sheet | 91% |
| Hartberg clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
SC Weiz is the model's most likely outcome at
67%. SC Weiz are backed at home, where they average 3.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (70% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ SC Weiz vs Hartberg — FAQ
Who will win SC Weiz vs Hartberg?
Our statistical model makes SC Weiz the most likely result at 67%. Full probabilities: SC Weiz 67%, draw 29%, Hartberg 4%.
Will both teams score in SC Weiz vs Hartberg?
The model gives a 24% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in SC Weiz vs Hartberg?
Expected goals are 1.35 for SC Weiz and 0.09 for Hartberg — about 1.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in SC Weiz vs Hartberg?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (32%). Double chance for SC Weiz or draw is 98%.