Scarborough Athletic vs Spennymoor Town Prediction & Preview
National League N/S (England) · Aug 18, 2026 · kickoff 18:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NATIONAL LEAGUE N/S (ENGLAND)
Scarborough Athletic vs Spennymoor Town
Model pick: Scarborough Athletic (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.38 – 1.18
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Scarborough Athletic | Spennymoor Town |
|---|
| League position | #23 (0 pts) | #17 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
*Scarborough Athletic shown at home, Spennymoor Town shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Scarborough Athletic — last 5
LLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 37% of the time; 46% of home games go over 2.5.
Spennymoor Town — last 5
DLLWD
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 52% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Scarborough Athletic (home) | Spennymoor Town (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 37% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 46% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 52% |
National League N/S (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.79
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 54%
Use these National League N/S (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.38 vs 1.18):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Scarborough Athletic or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — Spennymoor Town or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| Scarborough Athletic clean sheet | 31% |
| Spennymoor Town clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Scarborough Athletic is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Scarborough Athletic are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Scarborough Athletic vs Spennymoor Town — FAQ
Who will win Scarborough Athletic vs Spennymoor Town?
Our statistical model makes Scarborough Athletic the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Scarborough Athletic 40%, draw 28%, Spennymoor Town 32%.
Will both teams score in Scarborough Athletic vs Spennymoor Town?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Scarborough Athletic vs Spennymoor Town?
Expected goals are 1.38 for Scarborough Athletic and 1.18 for Spennymoor Town — about 2.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Scarborough Athletic vs Spennymoor Town?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Scarborough Athletic or draw is 68%.