Schalding vs Geretsried Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 18, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Schalding vs Geretsried
Model pick: Schalding (56%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.0 – 1.01
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Schalding | Geretsried |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 2.6 | 1.0 / 3.0 |
*Schalding shown at home, Geretsried shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Schalding — last 5
LDWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Geretsried — last 5
LLDW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Schalding (home) | Geretsried (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.16
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.0 vs 1.01):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Schalding or draw (1X) | 82% |
| Double chance — Geretsried or draw (X2) | 40% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 80% / 20% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 35% / 65% |
| Schalding clean sheet | 36% |
| Geretsried clean sheet | 14% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Schalding is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Schalding are backed at home, where they average 2.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (55% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Schalding vs Geretsried — FAQ
Who will win Schalding vs Geretsried?
Our statistical model makes Schalding the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Schalding 56%, draw 23%, Geretsried 21%.
Will both teams score in Schalding vs Geretsried?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Schalding vs Geretsried?
Expected goals are 2.0 for Schalding and 1.01 for Geretsried — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Schalding vs Geretsried?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Schalding or draw is 82%.