Schalding vs Pfaffenhofen Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Schalding vs Pfaffenhofen
Model pick: Pfaffenhofen (72%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.46 – 3.62
Total goals: 5.1
Over 2.5: 76%
Both teams score: 64%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Schalding | Pfaffenhofen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 4.4 | 1.4 / 2.6 |
*Schalding shown at home, Pfaffenhofen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Schalding — last 5
LLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Pfaffenhofen — last 5
WLWDL
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Schalding (home) | Pfaffenhofen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 75% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.61
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.46 vs 3.62):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-3 (7%) |
| Double chance — Schalding or draw (1X) | 23% |
| Double chance — Pfaffenhofen or draw (X2) | 89% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 88% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 96% / 4% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Schalding clean sheet | 3% |
| Pfaffenhofen clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Pfaffenhofen is the model's most likely outcome at
72%. Despite playing away, Pfaffenhofen edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 5.1, this shapes as an open game (76% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Schalding vs Pfaffenhofen — FAQ
Who will win Schalding vs Pfaffenhofen?
Our statistical model makes Pfaffenhofen the most likely result at 72%. Full probabilities: Schalding 14%, draw 15%, Pfaffenhofen 72%.
Will both teams score in Schalding vs Pfaffenhofen?
The model gives a 64% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Schalding vs Pfaffenhofen?
Expected goals are 1.46 for Schalding and 3.62 for Pfaffenhofen — about 5.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Schalding vs Pfaffenhofen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-3 (7%). Double chance for Schalding or draw is 23%.