Scherpenberg vs Meerbusch Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Scherpenberg vs Meerbusch
Model pick: Scherpenberg (70%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.96 – 1.1
Total goals: 4.1
Over 2.5: 67%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Scherpenberg | Meerbusch |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.0 / 2.0 | 0.67 / 3.67 |
*Scherpenberg shown at home, Meerbusch shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Scherpenberg — last 5
WD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Meerbusch — last 5
LLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Scherpenberg (home) | Meerbusch (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.59
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.96 vs 1.1):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (8%) |
| Double chance — Scherpenberg or draw (1X) | 89% |
| Double chance — Meerbusch or draw (X2) | 25% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 86% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 91% / 9% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 58% / 42% |
| Scherpenberg clean sheet | 33% |
| Meerbusch clean sheet | 5% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Scherpenberg is the model's most likely outcome at
70%. Scherpenberg are backed at home, where they average 5.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.1, this shapes as an open game (67% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Scherpenberg vs Meerbusch — FAQ
Who will win Scherpenberg vs Meerbusch?
Our statistical model makes Scherpenberg the most likely result at 70%. Full probabilities: Scherpenberg 70%, draw 17%, Meerbusch 14%.
Will both teams score in Scherpenberg vs Meerbusch?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Scherpenberg vs Meerbusch?
Expected goals are 2.96 for Scherpenberg and 1.1 for Meerbusch — about 4.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Scherpenberg vs Meerbusch?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (8%). Double chance for Scherpenberg or draw is 89%.