Schoningen vs Todesfelde Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Schoningen vs Todesfelde
Model pick: Schoningen (100%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 17.78 – 0.64
Total goals: 18.4
Over 2.5: 14%
Both teams score: 14%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Schoningen | Todesfelde |
|---|
| League position | #6 (4 pts) | #4 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.0 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.4 | 3.2 / 2.0 |
*Schoningen shown at home, Todesfelde shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Schoningen — last 5
LWWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 75% of home games go over 2.5.
Todesfelde — last 5
DWWWD
On the road: clean sheet 67% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Schoningen (home) | Todesfelde (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 33% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 35%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (17.78 vs 0.64):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 8-0 (31%) |
| Double chance — Schoningen or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Todesfelde or draw (X2) | 0% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Schoningen clean sheet | 53% |
| Todesfelde clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Schoningen is the model's most likely outcome at
100%. Schoningen are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (86% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Schoningen vs Todesfelde — FAQ
Who will win Schoningen vs Todesfelde?
Our statistical model makes Schoningen the most likely result at 100%. Full probabilities: Schoningen 100%, draw 0%, Todesfelde 0%.
Will both teams score in Schoningen vs Todesfelde?
The model gives a 14% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Schoningen vs Todesfelde?
Expected goals are 17.78 for Schoningen and 0.64 for Todesfelde — about 18.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Schoningen vs Todesfelde?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 8-0 (31%). Double chance for Schoningen or draw is 100%.