Schonnebeck vs Buderich Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Schonnebeck vs Buderich
Model pick: Buderich (46%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 11.55 – 14.74
Total goals: 26.3
Over 2.5: 17%
Both teams score: 22%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Schonnebeck | Buderich |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.8 / 1.6 | 4.0 / 2.33 |
*Schonnebeck shown at home, Buderich shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Schonnebeck — last 5
DWDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Buderich — last 5
WDD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Schonnebeck (home) | Buderich (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.61
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (11.55 vs 14.74):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 8-8 (21%) |
| Double chance — Schonnebeck or draw (1X) | 59% |
| Double chance — Buderich or draw (X2) | 73% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 69% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Schonnebeck clean sheet | 0% |
| Buderich clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Buderich is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Despite playing away, Buderich edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (83% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Schonnebeck vs Buderich — FAQ
Who will win Schonnebeck vs Buderich?
Our statistical model makes Buderich the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Schonnebeck 30%, draw 24%, Buderich 46%.
Will both teams score in Schonnebeck vs Buderich?
The model gives a 22% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Schonnebeck vs Buderich?
Expected goals are 11.55 for Schonnebeck and 14.74 for Buderich — about 26.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Schonnebeck vs Buderich?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 8-8 (21%). Double chance for Schonnebeck or draw is 59%.