Schott Mainz vs Cosmos Koblenz Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 12, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Schott Mainz vs Cosmos Koblenz
Model pick: Schott Mainz (78%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.19 – 0.26
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 37%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Schott Mainz | Cosmos Koblenz |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.0 / 0.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
*Schott Mainz shown at home, Cosmos Koblenz shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Schott Mainz — last 5
W
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Cosmos Koblenz — last 5
L
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Schott Mainz (home) | Cosmos Koblenz (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.29
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 39%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.19 vs 0.26):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (21%) |
| Double chance — Schott Mainz or draw (1X) | 97% |
| Double chance — Cosmos Koblenz or draw (X2) | 18% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 86% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Schott Mainz clean sheet | 77% |
| Cosmos Koblenz clean sheet | 11% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Schott Mainz is the model's most likely outcome at
78%. Schott Mainz are backed at home, where they average 0.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Schott Mainz vs Cosmos Koblenz — FAQ
Who will win Schott Mainz vs Cosmos Koblenz?
Our statistical model makes Schott Mainz the most likely result at 78%. Full probabilities: Schott Mainz 78%, draw 17%, Cosmos Koblenz 5%.
Will both teams score in Schott Mainz vs Cosmos Koblenz?
The model gives a 37% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Schott Mainz vs Cosmos Koblenz?
Expected goals are 2.19 for Schott Mainz and 0.26 for Cosmos Koblenz — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Schott Mainz vs Cosmos Koblenz?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (21%). Double chance for Schott Mainz or draw is 97%.