Schott Mainz vs Emmelshausen-Karbach Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Schott Mainz vs Emmelshausen-Karbach
Model pick: Schott Mainz (62%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.61 – 0.45
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 41%
Both teams score: 42%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Schott Mainz | Emmelshausen-Karbach |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.0 / 0.0 | 2.0 / 2.0 |
*Schott Mainz shown at home, Emmelshausen-Karbach shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Schott Mainz — last 5
W
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Emmelshausen-Karbach — last 5
LW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Schott Mainz (home) | Emmelshausen-Karbach (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.32
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 39%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 59%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.61 vs 0.45):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (21%) |
| Double chance — Schott Mainz or draw (1X) | 90% |
| Double chance — Emmelshausen-Karbach or draw (X2) | 34% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 61% / 39% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 15% / 85% |
| Schott Mainz clean sheet | 64% |
| Emmelshausen-Karbach clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Schott Mainz is the model's most likely outcome at
62%. Schott Mainz are backed at home, where they average 0.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (59% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Schott Mainz vs Emmelshausen-Karbach — FAQ
Who will win Schott Mainz vs Emmelshausen-Karbach?
Our statistical model makes Schott Mainz the most likely result at 62%. Full probabilities: Schott Mainz 62%, draw 26%, Emmelshausen-Karbach 12%.
Will both teams score in Schott Mainz vs Emmelshausen-Karbach?
The model gives a 42% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Schott Mainz vs Emmelshausen-Karbach?
Expected goals are 1.61 for Schott Mainz and 0.45 for Emmelshausen-Karbach — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Schott Mainz vs Emmelshausen-Karbach?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (21%). Double chance for Schott Mainz or draw is 90%.