Schwaben Augsburg vs Augsburg II Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Schwaben Augsburg vs Augsburg II
Model pick: Schwaben Augsburg (45%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.72 – 1.31
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Schwaben Augsburg | Augsburg II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.25 | 1.8 / 1.8 |
*Schwaben Augsburg shown at home, Augsburg II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Schwaben Augsburg — last 5
DLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Augsburg II — last 5
DLWDW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Schwaben Augsburg (home) | Augsburg II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 60% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.31
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.72 vs 1.31):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Schwaben Augsburg or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Augsburg II or draw (X2) | 53% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 36% / 64% |
| Schwaben Augsburg clean sheet | 27% |
| Augsburg II clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Schwaben Augsburg is the model's most likely outcome at
45%. Schwaben Augsburg are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Schwaben Augsburg vs Augsburg II — FAQ
Who will win Schwaben Augsburg vs Augsburg II?
Our statistical model makes Schwaben Augsburg the most likely result at 45%. Full probabilities: Schwaben Augsburg 45%, draw 25%, Augsburg II 30%.
Will both teams score in Schwaben Augsburg vs Augsburg II?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Schwaben Augsburg vs Augsburg II?
Expected goals are 1.72 for Schwaben Augsburg and 1.31 for Augsburg II — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Schwaben Augsburg vs Augsburg II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Schwaben Augsburg or draw is 71%.