Schwaben Augsburg vs Memmingen Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Schwaben Augsburg vs Memmingen
Model pick: Memmingen (41%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.95 – 1.24
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Schwaben Augsburg | Memmingen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
*Schwaben Augsburg shown at home, Memmingen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Schwaben Augsburg — last 5
LDWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Memmingen — last 5
WWLWD
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Schwaben Augsburg (home) | Memmingen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 50% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.25
Home wins: 34%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.95 vs 1.24):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (14%) |
| Double chance — Schwaben Augsburg or draw (1X) | 57% |
| Double chance — Memmingen or draw (X2) | 72% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 64% / 36% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 18% / 82% |
| Schwaben Augsburg clean sheet | 29% |
| Memmingen clean sheet | 39% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Memmingen is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Despite playing away, Memmingen edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Schwaben Augsburg vs Memmingen — FAQ
Who will win Schwaben Augsburg vs Memmingen?
Our statistical model makes Memmingen the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Schwaben Augsburg 29%, draw 30%, Memmingen 41%.
Will both teams score in Schwaben Augsburg vs Memmingen?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Schwaben Augsburg vs Memmingen?
Expected goals are 0.95 for Schwaben Augsburg and 1.24 for Memmingen — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Schwaben Augsburg vs Memmingen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (14%). Double chance for Schwaben Augsburg or draw is 57%.