Schwabmunchen vs Hankofen-Hailing Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Schwabmunchen vs Hankofen-Hailing
Model pick: Hankofen-Hailing (64%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.02 – 2.42
Total goals: 3.4
Over 2.5: 60%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Schwabmunchen | Hankofen-Hailing |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.8 / 1.2 | 2.2 / 0.4 |
*Schwabmunchen shown at home, Hankofen-Hailing shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Schwabmunchen — last 5
LDDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Hankofen-Hailing — last 5
WDWWW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Schwabmunchen (home) | Hankofen-Hailing (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 75% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.61
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.02 vs 2.42):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (10%) |
| Double chance — Schwabmunchen or draw (1X) | 32% |
| Double chance — Hankofen-Hailing or draw (X2) | 86% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 82% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 86% / 14% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 45% / 55% |
| Schwabmunchen clean sheet | 9% |
| Hankofen-Hailing clean sheet | 36% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hankofen-Hailing is the model's most likely outcome at
64%. Despite playing away, Hankofen-Hailing edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.4, this shapes as an open game (60% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Schwabmunchen vs Hankofen-Hailing — FAQ
Who will win Schwabmunchen vs Hankofen-Hailing?
Our statistical model makes Hankofen-Hailing the most likely result at 64%. Full probabilities: Schwabmunchen 17%, draw 20%, Hankofen-Hailing 64%.
Will both teams score in Schwabmunchen vs Hankofen-Hailing?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Schwabmunchen vs Hankofen-Hailing?
Expected goals are 1.02 for Schwabmunchen and 2.42 for Hankofen-Hailing — about 3.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Schwabmunchen vs Hankofen-Hailing?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (10%). Double chance for Schwabmunchen or draw is 32%.