Schwachhausen vs Geestemunde Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Schwachhausen vs Geestemunde
Model pick: Schwachhausen (41%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.26 – 1.01
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 45%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Schwachhausen | Geestemunde |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 3.5 | 2.0 / 5.0 |
*Schwachhausen shown at home, Geestemunde shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Schwachhausen — last 5
LL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Geestemunde — last 5
LD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Schwachhausen (home) | Geestemunde (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.47
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.26 vs 1.01):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Schwachhausen or draw (1X) | 70% |
| Double chance — Geestemunde or draw (X2) | 58% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 66% / 34% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 19% / 81% |
| Schwachhausen clean sheet | 36% |
| Geestemunde clean sheet | 28% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Schwachhausen is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Schwachhausen are backed at home, where they average 0.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (55% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Schwachhausen vs Geestemunde — FAQ
Who will win Schwachhausen vs Geestemunde?
Our statistical model makes Schwachhausen the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Schwachhausen 41%, draw 29%, Geestemunde 30%.
Will both teams score in Schwachhausen vs Geestemunde?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Schwachhausen vs Geestemunde?
Expected goals are 1.26 for Schwachhausen and 1.01 for Geestemunde — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Schwachhausen vs Geestemunde?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Schwachhausen or draw is 70%.