Schwachhausen vs Werder Bremen III Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Schwachhausen vs Werder Bremen III
Model pick: Schwachhausen (40%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.05 – 1.96
Total goals: 4.0
Over 2.5: 66%
Both teams score: 65%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Schwachhausen | Werder Bremen III |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.75 / 2.25 | 1.75 / 4.75 |
*Schwachhausen shown at home, Werder Bremen III shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Schwachhausen — last 5
LLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Werder Bremen III — last 5
LLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Schwachhausen (home) | Werder Bremen III (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.61
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.05 vs 1.96):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (7%) |
| Double chance — Schwachhausen or draw (1X) | 62% |
| Double chance — Werder Bremen III or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 91% / 9% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 57% / 43% |
| Schwachhausen clean sheet | 14% |
| Werder Bremen III clean sheet | 13% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Schwachhausen is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Schwachhausen are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.0, this shapes as an open game (66% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Schwachhausen vs Werder Bremen III — FAQ
Who will win Schwachhausen vs Werder Bremen III?
Our statistical model makes Schwachhausen the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Schwachhausen 40%, draw 22%, Werder Bremen III 37%.
Will both teams score in Schwachhausen vs Werder Bremen III?
The model gives a 65% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Schwachhausen vs Werder Bremen III?
Expected goals are 2.05 for Schwachhausen and 1.96 for Werder Bremen III — about 4.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Schwachhausen vs Werder Bremen III?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (7%). Double chance for Schwachhausen or draw is 62%.