Schwaz vs SC Imst Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Schwaz vs SC Imst
Model pick: SC Imst (59%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.12 – 1.09
Total goals: 1.2
Over 2.5: 25%
Both teams score: 25%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Schwaz | SC Imst |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 4.8 | 1.4 / 1.0 |
*Schwaz shown at home, SC Imst shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Schwaz — last 5
LWLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
SC Imst — last 5
LLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 67% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Schwaz (home) | SC Imst (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 33% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.24
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.12 vs 1.09):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (33%) |
| Double chance — Schwaz or draw (1X) | 38% |
| Double chance — SC Imst or draw (X2) | 96% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 66% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 34% / 66% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 3% / 97% |
| Schwaz clean sheet | 34% |
| SC Imst clean sheet | 89% |
🎯 Our Verdict
SC Imst is the model's most likely outcome at
59%. Despite playing away, SC Imst edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (75% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Schwaz vs SC Imst — FAQ
Who will win Schwaz vs SC Imst?
Our statistical model makes SC Imst the most likely result at 59%. Full probabilities: Schwaz 6%, draw 35%, SC Imst 59%.
Will both teams score in Schwaz vs SC Imst?
The model gives a 25% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Schwaz vs SC Imst?
Expected goals are 0.12 for Schwaz and 1.09 for SC Imst — about 1.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Schwaz vs SC Imst?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (33%). Double chance for Schwaz or draw is 38%.