Schweinfurt vs Bayreuth Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Schweinfurt vs Bayreuth
Model pick: Bayreuth (55%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.35 – 2.3
Total goals: 3.6
Over 2.5: 63%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Schweinfurt | Bayreuth |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 2.8 | 3.2 / 1.4 |
*Schweinfurt shown at home, Bayreuth shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Schweinfurt — last 5
WLLDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 10% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Bayreuth — last 5
WDWDL
On the road: clean sheet 5% of the time; 59% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Schweinfurt (home) | Bayreuth (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 10% | 5% |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 59% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.36
Home wins: 37%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.35 vs 2.3):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (9%) |
| Double chance — Schweinfurt or draw (1X) | 41% |
| Double chance — Bayreuth or draw (X2) | 78% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 88% / 12% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 50% / 50% |
| Schweinfurt clean sheet | 10% |
| Bayreuth clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bayreuth is the model's most likely outcome at
55%. Despite playing away, Bayreuth edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.6, this shapes as an open game (63% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Schweinfurt vs Bayreuth — FAQ
Who will win Schweinfurt vs Bayreuth?
Our statistical model makes Bayreuth the most likely result at 55%. Full probabilities: Schweinfurt 24%, draw 22%, Bayreuth 55%.
Will both teams score in Schweinfurt vs Bayreuth?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Schweinfurt vs Bayreuth?
Expected goals are 1.35 for Schweinfurt and 2.3 for Bayreuth — about 3.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Schweinfurt vs Bayreuth?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (9%). Double chance for Schweinfurt or draw is 41%.