Schweinfurt vs Furth II Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Schweinfurt vs Furth II
Model pick: Schweinfurt (45%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.62 – 2.28
Total goals: 4.9
Over 2.5: 75%
Both teams score: 70%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Schweinfurt | Furth II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
*Schweinfurt shown at home, Furth II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Schweinfurt — last 5
LDDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 9% of the time; 68% of home games go over 2.5.
Furth II — last 5
LDLWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 57% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Schweinfurt (home) | Furth II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 9% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 73% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 57% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.24
Home wins: 36%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.62 vs 2.28):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-2 (7%) |
| Double chance — Schweinfurt or draw (1X) | 65% |
| Double chance — Furth II or draw (X2) | 53% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 82% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 96% / 4% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Schweinfurt clean sheet | 10% |
| Furth II clean sheet | 7% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Schweinfurt is the model's most likely outcome at
45%. Schweinfurt are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.9, this shapes as an open game (75% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Schweinfurt vs Furth II — FAQ
Who will win Schweinfurt vs Furth II?
Our statistical model makes Schweinfurt the most likely result at 45%. Full probabilities: Schweinfurt 45%, draw 20%, Furth II 35%.
Will both teams score in Schweinfurt vs Furth II?
The model gives a 70% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Schweinfurt vs Furth II?
Expected goals are 2.62 for Schweinfurt and 2.28 for Furth II — about 4.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Schweinfurt vs Furth II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-2 (7%). Double chance for Schweinfurt or draw is 65%.