Seattle Sounders vs New York RB Prediction & Preview
MLS (USA) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 00:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
MLS (USA)
Seattle Sounders vs New York RB
Model pick: Seattle Sounders (50%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.56 – 0.97
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 62%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Seattle Sounders | New York RB |
|---|
| League position | #6 (24 pts) | #5 (22 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.9 / 1.7 | 1.5 / 2.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 57% | 38% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
*Seattle Sounders shown at home, New York RB shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Seattle Sounders — last 5
LLLDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 40% of the time; 52% of home games go over 2.5.
New York RB — last 5
WLLDL
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Seattle Sounders (home) | New York RB (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-1-2 in 7 (1.9 / 1.7 goals per game) | 3-2-3 in 8 (1.5 / 2.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 40% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 50% |
| Top scorer | – | Julian Hall (9) |
MLS (USA) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.95
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 26%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 59%
Use these MLS (USA) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.56 vs 0.97):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — Seattle Sounders or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — New York RB or draw (X2) | 49% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| Seattle Sounders clean sheet | 38% |
| New York RB clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Seattle Sounders is the model's most likely outcome at
50%. Seattle Sounders are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Seattle Sounders vs New York RB — FAQ
Who will win Seattle Sounders vs New York RB?
Our statistical model makes Seattle Sounders the most likely result at 50%. Full probabilities: Seattle Sounders 50%, draw 25%, New York RB 25%.
Will both teams score in Seattle Sounders vs New York RB?
The model gives a 62% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Seattle Sounders vs New York RB?
Expected goals are 1.56 for Seattle Sounders and 0.97 for New York RB — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Seattle Sounders vs New York RB?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (12%). Double chance for Seattle Sounders or draw is 76%.