Sepahan vs Gol Gohar Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Iran) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (IRAN)
Sepahan vs Gol Gohar
Model pick: Sepahan (51%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.41 – 0.67
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 42%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sepahan | Gol Gohar |
|---|
| League position | #7 (3 pts) | #6 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 2.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 0.6 | 1.0 / 1.4 |
*Sepahan shown at home, Gol Gohar shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sepahan — last 5
WWDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 47% of the time; 38% of home games go over 2.5.
Gol Gohar — last 5
WLLWD
On the road: clean sheet 38% of the time; 27% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sepahan (home) | Gol Gohar (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (0.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 47% | 38% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 27% |
| Top scorer | Milad Zakipour (1) | – |
Premier League (Iran) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.01
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 35%
Away wins: 27%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 42%
Use these Premier League (Iran) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.41 vs 0.67):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (18%) |
| Double chance — Sepahan or draw (1X) | 82% |
| Double chance — Gol Gohar or draw (X2) | 45% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 62% / 38% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 16% / 84% |
| Sepahan clean sheet | 51% |
| Gol Gohar clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sepahan is the model's most likely outcome at
51%. Sepahan are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (58% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Sepahan vs Gol Gohar — FAQ
Who will win Sepahan vs Gol Gohar?
Our statistical model makes Sepahan the most likely result at 51%. Full probabilities: Sepahan 51%, draw 29%, Gol Gohar 20%.
Will both teams score in Sepahan vs Gol Gohar?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Sepahan vs Gol Gohar?
Expected goals are 1.41 for Sepahan and 0.67 for Gol Gohar — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sepahan vs Gol Gohar?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (18%). Double chance for Sepahan or draw is 82%.