Sepahan vs Tractor Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Iran) · Aug 18, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (IRAN)
Sepahan vs Tractor
Model pick: Sepahan (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.22 – 0.97
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sepahan | Tractor |
|---|
| League position | #1 (0 pts) | #8 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 0.6 | 1.0 / 0.6 |
*Sepahan shown at home, Tractor shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sepahan — last 5
DLWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 48% of the time; 38% of home games go over 2.5.
Tractor — last 5
WWLDW
On the road: clean sheet 44% of the time; 36% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sepahan (home) | Tractor (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 48% | 44% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 36% |
| Top scorer | Milad Zakipour (1) | Regi Lushkja (3) |
Premier League (Iran) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.01
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 35%
Away wins: 27%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 42%
Use these Premier League (Iran) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.22 vs 0.97):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Sepahan or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Tractor or draw (X2) | 58% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 64% / 36% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 18% / 82% |
| Sepahan clean sheet | 38% |
| Tractor clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sepahan is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Sepahan are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Sepahan vs Tractor — FAQ
Who will win Sepahan vs Tractor?
Our statistical model makes Sepahan the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Sepahan 40%, draw 30%, Tractor 30%.
Will both teams score in Sepahan vs Tractor?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Sepahan vs Tractor?
Expected goals are 1.22 for Sepahan and 0.97 for Tractor — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sepahan vs Tractor?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Sepahan or draw is 71%.