Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Slivnishki Geroy Prediction & Preview
V AFG (Bulgaria) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
V AFG (BULGARIA)
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Slivnishki Geroy
Model pick: Septemvri Sofia 2 (46%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.93 – 0.38
Total goals: 1.3
Over 2.5: 28%
Both teams score: 36%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Septemvri Sofia 2 | Slivnishki Geroy |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.25 / 1.0 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
*Septemvri Sofia 2 shown at home, Slivnishki Geroy shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Septemvri Sofia 2 — last 5
WWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Slivnishki Geroy — last 5
LLWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Septemvri Sofia 2 (home) | Slivnishki Geroy (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
V AFG (Bulgaria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.08
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 60%
Use these V AFG (Bulgaria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.93 vs 0.38):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (27%) |
| Double chance — Septemvri Sofia 2 or draw (1X) | 85% |
| Double chance — Slivnishki Geroy or draw (X2) | 52% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 63% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 38% / 62% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 4% / 96% |
| Septemvri Sofia 2 clean sheet | 68% |
| Slivnishki Geroy clean sheet | 39% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Septemvri Sofia 2 is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Septemvri Sofia 2 are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (72% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Slivnishki Geroy — FAQ
Who will win Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Slivnishki Geroy?
Our statistical model makes Septemvri Sofia 2 the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Septemvri Sofia 2 46%, draw 37%, Slivnishki Geroy 17%.
Will both teams score in Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Slivnishki Geroy?
The model gives a 36% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Slivnishki Geroy?
Expected goals are 0.93 for Septemvri Sofia 2 and 0.38 for Slivnishki Geroy — about 1.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Slivnishki Geroy?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (27%). Double chance for Septemvri Sofia 2 or draw is 85%.