Septemvri Tervel vs Devnya 2005 Prediction & Preview
V AFG (Bulgaria) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
V AFG (BULGARIA)
Septemvri Tervel vs Devnya 2005
Model pick: Septemvri Tervel (94%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.55 – 0.37
Total goals: 4.9
Over 2.5: 74%
Both teams score: 43%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Septemvri Tervel | Devnya 2005 |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.0 | 0.5 / 1.0 |
*Septemvri Tervel shown at home, Devnya 2005 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Septemvri Tervel — last 5
D
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Devnya 2005 — last 5
WL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Septemvri Tervel (home) | Devnya 2005 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
V AFG (Bulgaria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.17
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 60%
Use these V AFG (Bulgaria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.55 vs 0.37):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Septemvri Tervel or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Devnya 2005 or draw (X2) | 3% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 97% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 95% / 5% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Septemvri Tervel clean sheet | 69% |
| Devnya 2005 clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Septemvri Tervel is the model's most likely outcome at
94%. Septemvri Tervel are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.9, this shapes as an open game (74% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Septemvri Tervel vs Devnya 2005 — FAQ
Who will win Septemvri Tervel vs Devnya 2005?
Our statistical model makes Septemvri Tervel the most likely result at 94%. Full probabilities: Septemvri Tervel 94%, draw 4%, Devnya 2005 1%.
Will both teams score in Septemvri Tervel vs Devnya 2005?
The model gives a 43% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Septemvri Tervel vs Devnya 2005?
Expected goals are 4.55 for Septemvri Tervel and 0.37 for Devnya 2005 — about 4.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Septemvri Tervel vs Devnya 2005?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-0 (14%). Double chance for Septemvri Tervel or draw is 99%.