SG Wattenscheid vs Rodinghausen Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Sep 02, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
SG Wattenscheid vs Rodinghausen
Model pick: Draw (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.75 – 0.41
Total goals: 1.2
Over 2.5: 24%
Both teams score: 35%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| SG Wattenscheid | Rodinghausen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
*SG Wattenscheid shown at home, Rodinghausen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
SG Wattenscheid — last 5
LDLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Rodinghausen — last 5
WLWDD
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | SG Wattenscheid (home) | Rodinghausen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 36%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.75 vs 0.41):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (31%) |
| Double chance — SG Wattenscheid or draw (1X) | 82% |
| Double chance — Rodinghausen or draw (X2) | 60% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 58% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 32% / 68% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 3% / 97% |
| SG Wattenscheid clean sheet | 66% |
| Rodinghausen clean sheet | 47% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (76% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ SG Wattenscheid vs Rodinghausen — FAQ
Who will win SG Wattenscheid vs Rodinghausen?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: SG Wattenscheid 39%, draw 40%, Rodinghausen 20%.
Will both teams score in SG Wattenscheid vs Rodinghausen?
The model gives a 35% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in SG Wattenscheid vs Rodinghausen?
Expected goals are 0.75 for SG Wattenscheid and 0.41 for Rodinghausen — about 1.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in SG Wattenscheid vs Rodinghausen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (31%). Double chance for SG Wattenscheid or draw is 82%.