Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Ireland) · Sep 04, 2026 · kickoff 19:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (IRELAND)
Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians
Model pick: Shamrock Rovers (44%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.56 – 0.88
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Shamrock Rovers | Bohemians |
|---|
| League position | #31 (4 pts) | #3 (50 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.3 / 1.7 | 1.8 / 1.1 |
| Win rate this season* | 33% | 57% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.4 | 3.0 / 1.8 |
*Shamrock Rovers shown at home, Bohemians shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Shamrock Rovers — last 5
WLLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 46% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Bohemians — last 5
LLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 30% of the time; 37% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Shamrock Rovers (home) | Bohemians (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-2 in 3 (1.3 / 1.7 goals per game) | 8-2-4 in 14 (1.8 / 1.1 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 46% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 46% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 37% |
Premier League (Ireland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.52
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 47%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Premier League (Ireland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.56 vs 0.88):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Shamrock Rovers or draw (1X) | 79% |
| Double chance — Bohemians or draw (X2) | 47% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Shamrock Rovers clean sheet | 41% |
| Bohemians clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Shamrock Rovers is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Shamrock Rovers are backed at home, where they average 1.9 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians — FAQ
Who will win Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians?
Our statistical model makes Shamrock Rovers the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Shamrock Rovers 44%, draw 27%, Bohemians 29%.
Will both teams score in Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians?
Expected goals are 1.56 for Shamrock Rovers and 0.88 for Bohemians — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Shamrock Rovers or draw is 79%.