Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Ireland) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 19:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (IRELAND)
Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne
Model pick: Shamrock Rovers (51%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.44 – 0.8
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Shamrock Rovers | Shelbourne |
|---|
| League position | #31 (4 pts) | #34 (2 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.3 / 1.7 | 0.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 33% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.8 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
*Shamrock Rovers shown at home, Shelbourne shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Shamrock Rovers — last 5
WDWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 46% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Shelbourne — last 5
LLLLD
On the road: clean sheet 31% of the time; 34% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Shamrock Rovers (home) | Shelbourne (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-2 in 3 (1.3 / 1.7 goals per game) | 0-1-2 in 3 (0.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 46% | 31% |
| Both teams scored | 46% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 34% |
Premier League (Ireland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.52
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 47%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Premier League (Ireland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.44 vs 0.8):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Shamrock Rovers or draw (1X) | 79% |
| Double chance — Shelbourne or draw (X2) | 48% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 66% / 34% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 19% / 81% |
| Shamrock Rovers clean sheet | 45% |
| Shelbourne clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Shamrock Rovers is the model's most likely outcome at
51%. Shamrock Rovers are backed at home, where they average 1.9 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne — FAQ
Who will win Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne?
Our statistical model makes Shamrock Rovers the most likely result at 51%. Full probabilities: Shamrock Rovers 51%, draw 27%, Shelbourne 22%.
Will both teams score in Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne?
Expected goals are 1.44 for Shamrock Rovers and 0.8 for Shelbourne — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (15%). Double chance for Shamrock Rovers or draw is 79%.