Shams Azar Qazvin vs Gol Gohar Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Iran) · Sep 10, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (IRAN)
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Gol Gohar
Model pick: Gol Gohar (38%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.83 – 1.02
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 38%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Shams Azar Qazvin | Gol Gohar |
|---|
| League position | #11 (5 pts) | #7 (7 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.3 / 1.3 | 0.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.0 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
*Shams Azar Qazvin shown at home, Gol Gohar shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Shams Azar Qazvin — last 5
LDLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 38% of home games go over 2.5.
Gol Gohar — last 5
WDWLL
On the road: clean sheet 38% of the time; 27% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Shams Azar Qazvin (home) | Gol Gohar (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-2 in 3 (0.3 / 1.3 goals per game) | 0-1-1 in 2 (0.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 38% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 27% |
Premier League (Iran) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.01
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 35%
Away wins: 27%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 41%
Use these Premier League (Iran) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.83 vs 1.02):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (16%) |
| Double chance — Shams Azar Qazvin or draw (1X) | 61% |
| Double chance — Gol Gohar or draw (X2) | 71% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 68% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 55% / 45% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 12% / 88% |
| Shams Azar Qazvin clean sheet | 36% |
| Gol Gohar clean sheet | 44% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Gol Gohar is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Despite playing away, Gol Gohar edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (62% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Shams Azar Qazvin vs Gol Gohar — FAQ
Who will win Shams Azar Qazvin vs Gol Gohar?
Our statistical model makes Gol Gohar the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Shams Azar Qazvin 30%, draw 32%, Gol Gohar 38%.
Will both teams score in Shams Azar Qazvin vs Gol Gohar?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Shams Azar Qazvin vs Gol Gohar?
Expected goals are 0.83 for Shams Azar Qazvin and 1.02 for Gol Gohar — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Shams Azar Qazvin vs Gol Gohar?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (16%). Double chance for Shams Azar Qazvin or draw is 61%.