Shams Azar Qazvin vs Tractor Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Iran) · Sep 01, 2026 · kickoff 15:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (IRAN)
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Tractor
Model pick: Tractor (56%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.65 – 1.56
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Shams Azar Qazvin | Tractor |
|---|
| League position | #16 (1 pts) | #2 (9 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.5 / 2.0 | 2.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 0.2 |
*Shams Azar Qazvin shown at home, Tractor shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Shams Azar Qazvin — last 5
LLLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 27% of the time; 39% of home games go over 2.5.
Tractor — last 5
DWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 44% of the time; 36% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Shams Azar Qazvin (home) | Tractor (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-2 in 2 (0.5 / 2.0 goals per game) | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 27% | 44% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 36% |
| Top scorer | – | Regi Lushkja (3) |
Premier League (Iran) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.01
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 35%
Away wins: 27%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 42%
Use these Premier League (Iran) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.65 vs 1.56):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (17%) |
| Double chance — Shams Azar Qazvin or draw (1X) | 41% |
| Double chance — Tractor or draw (X2) | 85% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 65% / 35% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 18% / 82% |
| Shams Azar Qazvin clean sheet | 21% |
| Tractor clean sheet | 52% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Tractor is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Despite playing away, Tractor edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Shams Azar Qazvin vs Tractor — FAQ
Who will win Shams Azar Qazvin vs Tractor?
Our statistical model makes Tractor the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Shams Azar Qazvin 18%, draw 27%, Tractor 56%.
Will both teams score in Shams Azar Qazvin vs Tractor?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Shams Azar Qazvin vs Tractor?
Expected goals are 0.65 for Shams Azar Qazvin and 1.56 for Tractor — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Shams Azar Qazvin vs Tractor?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (17%). Double chance for Shams Azar Qazvin or draw is 41%.