Shanghai SIPG vs Dalian Yingbo Prediction & Preview
Super League (China) · Aug 19, 2026 · kickoff 11:35 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LEAGUE (CHINA)
Shanghai SIPG vs Dalian Yingbo
Model pick: Shanghai SIPG (62%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.24 – 0.96
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Shanghai SIPG | Dalian Yingbo |
|---|
| League position | #13 (22 pts) | #3 (32 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.8 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 2.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 40% | 20% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
*Shanghai SIPG shown at home, Dalian Yingbo shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Shanghai SIPG — last 5
DDWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 34% of the time; 65% of home games go over 2.5.
Dalian Yingbo — last 5
WDLDW
On the road: clean sheet 6% of the time; 44% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Shanghai SIPG (home) | Dalian Yingbo (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-3-3 in 10 (1.8 / 1.1 goals per game) | 2-2-6 in 10 (1.2 / 2.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 34% | 6% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 44% |
| Top scorer | – | Cephas Malele (8) |
Super League (China) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.94
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super League (China) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.24 vs 0.96):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (10%) |
| Double chance — Shanghai SIPG or draw (1X) | 85% |
| Double chance — Dalian Yingbo or draw (X2) | 34% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 83% / 17% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 40% / 60% |
| Shanghai SIPG clean sheet | 38% |
| Dalian Yingbo clean sheet | 11% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Shanghai SIPG is the model's most likely outcome at
62%. Shanghai SIPG are backed at home, where they average 2.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (58% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Shanghai SIPG vs Dalian Yingbo — FAQ
Who will win Shanghai SIPG vs Dalian Yingbo?
Our statistical model makes Shanghai SIPG the most likely result at 62%. Full probabilities: Shanghai SIPG 62%, draw 21%, Dalian Yingbo 17%.
Will both teams score in Shanghai SIPG vs Dalian Yingbo?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Shanghai SIPG vs Dalian Yingbo?
Expected goals are 2.24 for Shanghai SIPG and 0.96 for Dalian Yingbo — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Shanghai SIPG vs Dalian Yingbo?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (10%). Double chance for Shanghai SIPG or draw is 85%.