Shanghai SIPG vs Qingdao Manatee Prediction & Preview
Super League (China) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 11:35 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LEAGUE (CHINA)
Shanghai SIPG vs Qingdao Manatee
Model pick: Shanghai SIPG (73%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.96 – 0.77
Total goals: 3.7
Over 2.5: 64%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Shanghai SIPG | Qingdao Manatee |
|---|
| League position | #10 (25 pts) | #16 (14 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.8 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 2.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 40% | 8% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.2 | 0.4 / 2.4 |
*Shanghai SIPG shown at home, Qingdao Manatee shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Shanghai SIPG — last 5
DWLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 34% of the time; 65% of home games go over 2.5.
Qingdao Manatee — last 5
LLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 12% of the time; 44% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Shanghai SIPG (home) | Qingdao Manatee (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-3-3 in 10 (1.8 / 1.1 goals per game) | 1-1-10 in 12 (1.2 / 2.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 34% | 12% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 44% |
| Top scorer | – | Malcom Edjouma (6) |
Super League (China) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.95
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super League (China) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.96 vs 0.77):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (11%) |
| Double chance — Shanghai SIPG or draw (1X) | 93% |
| Double chance — Qingdao Manatee or draw (X2) | 19% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 88% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 89% / 11% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 51% / 49% |
| Shanghai SIPG clean sheet | 46% |
| Qingdao Manatee clean sheet | 5% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Shanghai SIPG is the model's most likely outcome at
73%. Shanghai SIPG are backed at home, where they average 2.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.7, this shapes as an open game (64% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Shanghai SIPG vs Qingdao Manatee — FAQ
Who will win Shanghai SIPG vs Qingdao Manatee?
Our statistical model makes Shanghai SIPG the most likely result at 73%. Full probabilities: Shanghai SIPG 73%, draw 16%, Qingdao Manatee 11%.
Will both teams score in Shanghai SIPG vs Qingdao Manatee?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Shanghai SIPG vs Qingdao Manatee?
Expected goals are 2.96 for Shanghai SIPG and 0.77 for Qingdao Manatee — about 3.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Shanghai SIPG vs Qingdao Manatee?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (11%). Double chance for Shanghai SIPG or draw is 93%.