Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athletic Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Ireland) · Aug 07, 2026 · kickoff 18:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (IRELAND)
Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athletic
Model pick: Shelbourne (39%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.13 – 0.95
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 42%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Shelbourne | St Patrick's Athletic |
|---|
| League position | #34 (2 pts) | #2 (43 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 1.3 | 1.0 / 1.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 25% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.6 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
*Shelbourne shown at home, St Patrick's Athletic shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Shelbourne — last 5
WDDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 30% of the time; 42% of home games go over 2.5.
St Patrick's Athletic — last 5
WDLWD
On the road: clean sheet 28% of the time; 41% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Shelbourne (home) | St Patrick's Athletic (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-2 in 3 (0.0 / 1.3 goals per game) | 3-5-4 in 12 (1.0 / 1.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 30% | 28% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 41% |
Premier League (Ireland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.52
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 47%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Premier League (Ireland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.13 vs 0.95):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Shelbourne or draw (1X) | 70% |
| Double chance — St Patrick's Athletic or draw (X2) | 60% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 62% / 38% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 16% / 84% |
| Shelbourne clean sheet | 39% |
| St Patrick's Athletic clean sheet | 32% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Shelbourne is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Shelbourne are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (58% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athletic — FAQ
Who will win Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athletic?
Our statistical model makes Shelbourne the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Shelbourne 39%, draw 30%, St Patrick's Athletic 31%.
Will both teams score in Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athletic?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athletic?
Expected goals are 1.13 for Shelbourne and 0.95 for St Patrick's Athletic — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athletic?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Shelbourne or draw is 70%.