Shenzhen Juniors vs Meizhou Hakka Prediction & Preview
League One (China) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LEAGUE ONE (CHINA)
Shenzhen Juniors vs Meizhou Hakka
Model pick: Shenzhen Juniors (57%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.44 – 0.49
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 39%
Both teams score: 42%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Shenzhen Juniors | Meizhou Hakka |
|---|
| League position | #2 (39 pts) | #15 (18 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.2 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 27% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 0.4 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
*Shenzhen Juniors shown at home, Meizhou Hakka shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Shenzhen Juniors — last 5
WWDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 60% of the time; 40% of home games go over 2.5.
Meizhou Hakka — last 5
LWLLD
On the road: clean sheet 16% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Shenzhen Juniors (home) | Meizhou Hakka (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-4-1 in 10 (1.2 / 0.8 goals per game) | 3-2-6 in 11 (0.7 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 60% | 16% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 55% |
League One (China) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.06
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 25%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 61%
Use these League One (China) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.44 vs 0.49):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (21%) |
| Double chance — Shenzhen Juniors or draw (1X) | 87% |
| Double chance — Meizhou Hakka or draw (X2) | 39% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 57% / 43% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 13% / 87% |
| Shenzhen Juniors clean sheet | 61% |
| Meizhou Hakka clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Shenzhen Juniors is the model's most likely outcome at
57%. Shenzhen Juniors are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (61% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Shenzhen Juniors vs Meizhou Hakka — FAQ
Who will win Shenzhen Juniors vs Meizhou Hakka?
Our statistical model makes Shenzhen Juniors the most likely result at 57%. Full probabilities: Shenzhen Juniors 57%, draw 28%, Meizhou Hakka 15%.
Will both teams score in Shenzhen Juniors vs Meizhou Hakka?
The model gives a 42% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Shenzhen Juniors vs Meizhou Hakka?
Expected goals are 1.44 for Shenzhen Juniors and 0.49 for Meizhou Hakka — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Shenzhen Juniors vs Meizhou Hakka?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (21%). Double chance for Shenzhen Juniors or draw is 87%.