Shenzhen Peng City vs Shanghai SIPG Prediction & Preview
Super League (China) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LEAGUE (CHINA)
Shenzhen Peng City vs Shanghai SIPG
Model pick: Shanghai SIPG (61%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.04 – 2.33
Total goals: 3.4
Over 2.5: 60%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Shenzhen Peng City | Shanghai SIPG |
|---|
| League position | #9 (27 pts) | #10 (26 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.9 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 1.7 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 2.0 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
*Shenzhen Peng City shown at home, Shanghai SIPG shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Shenzhen Peng City — last 5
LWLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 66% of home games go over 2.5.
Shanghai SIPG — last 5
WLWWD
On the road: clean sheet 32% of the time; 59% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Shenzhen Peng City (home) | Shanghai SIPG (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-2-4 in 12 (1.9 / 1.3 goals per game) | 4-3-5 in 12 (1.5 / 1.7 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 32% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 59% |
| Top scorer | Moraes Wesley (9) | – |
Super League (China) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.95
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super League (China) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.04 vs 2.33):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (10%) |
| Double chance — Shenzhen Peng City or draw (1X) | 34% |
| Double chance — Shanghai SIPG or draw (X2) | 85% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 82% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 85% / 15% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 43% / 57% |
| Shenzhen Peng City clean sheet | 10% |
| Shanghai SIPG clean sheet | 35% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Shanghai SIPG is the model's most likely outcome at
61%. Despite playing away, Shanghai SIPG edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.4, this shapes as an open game (60% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Shenzhen Peng City vs Shanghai SIPG — FAQ
Who will win Shenzhen Peng City vs Shanghai SIPG?
Our statistical model makes Shanghai SIPG the most likely result at 61%. Full probabilities: Shenzhen Peng City 18%, draw 21%, Shanghai SIPG 61%.
Will both teams score in Shenzhen Peng City vs Shanghai SIPG?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Shenzhen Peng City vs Shanghai SIPG?
Expected goals are 1.04 for Shenzhen Peng City and 2.33 for Shanghai SIPG — about 3.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Shenzhen Peng City vs Shanghai SIPG?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (10%). Double chance for Shenzhen Peng City or draw is 34%.