Shenzhen Peng City vs Zhejiang Greentown Prediction & Preview
Super League (China) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 11:35 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LEAGUE (CHINA)
Shenzhen Peng City vs Zhejiang Greentown
Model pick: Zhejiang Greentown (40%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.39 – 1.9
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 59%
Both teams score: 63%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Shenzhen Peng City | Zhejiang Greentown |
|---|
| League position | #8 (26 pts) | #11 (24 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 55% | 27% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 2.0 | 2.0 / 2.0 |
*Shenzhen Peng City shown at home, Zhejiang Greentown shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Shenzhen Peng City — last 5
DLWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 68% of home games go over 2.5.
Zhejiang Greentown — last 5
WDWLL
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 59% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Shenzhen Peng City (home) | Zhejiang Greentown (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-1-4 in 11 (2.0 / 1.4 goals per game) | 3-2-6 in 11 (1.4 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 59% |
| Top scorer | Moraes Wesley (9) | Yudong Wang (8) |
Super League (China) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.95
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super League (China) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.39 vs 1.9):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Shenzhen Peng City or draw (1X) | 51% |
| Double chance — Zhejiang Greentown or draw (X2) | 72% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 42% / 58% |
| Shenzhen Peng City clean sheet | 15% |
| Zhejiang Greentown clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Zhejiang Greentown is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Despite playing away, Zhejiang Greentown edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (59% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Shenzhen Peng City vs Zhejiang Greentown — FAQ
Who will win Shenzhen Peng City vs Zhejiang Greentown?
Our statistical model makes Zhejiang Greentown the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Shenzhen Peng City 35%, draw 25%, Zhejiang Greentown 40%.
Will both teams score in Shenzhen Peng City vs Zhejiang Greentown?
The model gives a 63% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Shenzhen Peng City vs Zhejiang Greentown?
Expected goals are 1.39 for Shenzhen Peng City and 1.9 for Zhejiang Greentown — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Shenzhen Peng City vs Zhejiang Greentown?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Shenzhen Peng City or draw is 51%.