Shijiazhuang Gongfu vs Wuxi Wugou Prediction & Preview
League One (China) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 11:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LEAGUE ONE (CHINA)
Shijiazhuang Gongfu vs Wuxi Wugou
Model pick: Shijiazhuang Gongfu (43%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.32 – 0.97
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 45%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Shijiazhuang Gongfu | Wuxi Wugou |
|---|
| League position | #13 (21 pts) | #8 (23 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.8 / 1.1 | 1.7 / 1.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 30% | 36% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
*Shijiazhuang Gongfu shown at home, Wuxi Wugou shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Shijiazhuang Gongfu — last 5
DDWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Wuxi Wugou — last 5
WWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Shijiazhuang Gongfu (home) | Wuxi Wugou (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-3-4 in 10 (0.8 / 1.1 goals per game) | 4-2-5 in 11 (1.7 / 1.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 60% |
League One (China) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.0
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 23%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 61%
Use these League One (China) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.32 vs 0.97):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Shijiazhuang Gongfu or draw (1X) | 73% |
| Double chance — Wuxi Wugou or draw (X2) | 55% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 67% / 33% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 20% / 80% |
| Shijiazhuang Gongfu clean sheet | 38% |
| Wuxi Wugou clean sheet | 27% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Shijiazhuang Gongfu is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Shijiazhuang Gongfu are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (55% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Shijiazhuang Gongfu vs Wuxi Wugou — FAQ
Who will win Shijiazhuang Gongfu vs Wuxi Wugou?
Our statistical model makes Shijiazhuang Gongfu the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Shijiazhuang Gongfu 43%, draw 29%, Wuxi Wugou 28%.
Will both teams score in Shijiazhuang Gongfu vs Wuxi Wugou?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Shijiazhuang Gongfu vs Wuxi Wugou?
Expected goals are 1.32 for Shijiazhuang Gongfu and 0.97 for Wuxi Wugou — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Shijiazhuang Gongfu vs Wuxi Wugou?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for Shijiazhuang Gongfu or draw is 73%.