Shkendija vs Hibernian Prediction & Preview
Europa Conference League (Europe) · Aug 13, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE (EUROPE)
Shkendija vs Hibernian
Model pick: Hibernian (38%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.4 – 1.44
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Shkendija | Hibernian |
|---|
| League position | #22 (7 pts) | #10 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.3 / 0.3 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 67% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.0 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
*Shkendija shown at home, Hibernian shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Shkendija — last 5
WLWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 67% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Hibernian — last 5
WLWLW
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 48% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Shkendija (home) | Hibernian (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-1-0 in 3 (1.3 / 0.3 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 67% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 48% |
Europa Conference League (Europe) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.94
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Europa Conference League (Europe) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.4 vs 1.44):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Shkendija or draw (1X) | 62% |
| Double chance — Hibernian or draw (X2) | 63% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 32% / 68% |
| Shkendija clean sheet | 24% |
| Hibernian clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hibernian is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Despite playing away, Hibernian edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Shkendija vs Hibernian — FAQ
Who will win Shkendija vs Hibernian?
Our statistical model makes Hibernian the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Shkendija 36%, draw 26%, Hibernian 38%.
Will both teams score in Shkendija vs Hibernian?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Shkendija vs Hibernian?
Expected goals are 1.4 for Shkendija and 1.44 for Hibernian — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Shkendija vs Hibernian?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Shkendija or draw is 62%.