Sholing vs Chertsey Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Sholing vs Chertsey
Model pick: Draw (49%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.3 – 0.52
Total goals: 0.8
Over 2.5: 16%
Both teams score: 28%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sholing | Chertsey |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 0.8 | 2.4 / 1.0 |
*Sholing shown at home, Chertsey shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sholing — last 5
WWLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of home games go over 2.5.
Chertsey — last 5
WWWWD
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sholing (home) | Chertsey (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 50% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.69
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.3 vs 0.52):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (44%) |
| Double chance — Sholing or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — Chertsey or draw (X2) | 83% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 49% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 20% / 80% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| Sholing clean sheet | 59% |
| Chertsey clean sheet | 74% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (84% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Sholing vs Chertsey — FAQ
Who will win Sholing vs Chertsey?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Sholing 19%, draw 49%, Chertsey 33%.
Will both teams score in Sholing vs Chertsey?
The model gives a 28% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Sholing vs Chertsey?
Expected goals are 0.3 for Sholing and 0.52 for Chertsey — about 0.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sholing vs Chertsey?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (44%). Double chance for Sholing or draw is 68%.