Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Wisloka Debica Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Wisloka Debica
Model pick: Wisloka Debica (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.1 – 1.42
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Siarka Tarnobrzeg | Wisloka Debica |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
*Siarka Tarnobrzeg shown at home, Wisloka Debica shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Siarka Tarnobrzeg — last 5
DLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 38% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Wisloka Debica — last 5
DWWLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Siarka Tarnobrzeg (home) | Wisloka Debica (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 38% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 67% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.24
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 63%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.1 vs 1.42):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Siarka Tarnobrzeg or draw (1X) | 56% |
| Double chance — Wisloka Debica or draw (X2) | 71% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| Siarka Tarnobrzeg clean sheet | 24% |
| Wisloka Debica clean sheet | 33% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Wisloka Debica is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Despite playing away, Wisloka Debica edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Wisloka Debica — FAQ
Who will win Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Wisloka Debica?
Our statistical model makes Wisloka Debica the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Siarka Tarnobrzeg 30%, draw 28%, Wisloka Debica 42%.
Will both teams score in Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Wisloka Debica?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Wisloka Debica?
Expected goals are 1.1 for Siarka Tarnobrzeg and 1.42 for Wisloka Debica — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Wisloka Debica?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Siarka Tarnobrzeg or draw is 56%.