Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905 Prediction & Preview
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CZECH LIGA (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905
Model pick: Sigma Olomouc (50%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.44 – 0.94
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sigma Olomouc | Bohemians 1905 |
|---|
| League position | #5 (10 pts) | #12 (5 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.5 / 1.5 | 1.7 / 1.7 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
*Sigma Olomouc shown at home, Bohemians 1905 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sigma Olomouc — last 5
DWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 38% of the time; 52% of home games go over 2.5.
Bohemians 1905 — last 5
LDWDW
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 44% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sigma Olomouc (home) | Bohemians 1905 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-1-0 in 2 (2.5 / 1.5 goals per game) | 1-1-1 in 3 (1.7 / 1.7 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 38% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 44% |
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.67
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.44 vs 0.94):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Sigma Olomouc or draw (1X) | 75% |
| Double chance — Bohemians 1905 or draw (X2) | 51% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Sigma Olomouc clean sheet | 39% |
| Bohemians 1905 clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sigma Olomouc is the model's most likely outcome at
50%. Sigma Olomouc are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905 — FAQ
Who will win Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905?
Our statistical model makes Sigma Olomouc the most likely result at 50%. Full probabilities: Sigma Olomouc 50%, draw 26%, Bohemians 1905 24%.
Will both teams score in Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905?
Expected goals are 1.44 for Sigma Olomouc and 0.94 for Bohemians 1905 — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for Sigma Olomouc or draw is 75%.