Sigma Olomouc vs Mladá Boleslav Prediction & Preview
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) · Aug 02, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CZECH LIGA (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Sigma Olomouc vs Mladá Boleslav
Model pick: Sigma Olomouc (51%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.69 – 1.16
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sigma Olomouc | Mladá Boleslav |
|---|
| League position | #10 (0 pts) | #7 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 1.0 | 3.6 / 0.8 |
*Sigma Olomouc shown at home, Mladá Boleslav shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sigma Olomouc — last 5
WWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 39% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Mladá Boleslav — last 5
WWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 23% of the time; 65% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sigma Olomouc (home) | Mladá Boleslav (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 39% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 65% |
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.67
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.69 vs 1.16):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Sigma Olomouc or draw (1X) | 74% |
| Double chance — Mladá Boleslav or draw (X2) | 50% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 32% / 68% |
| Sigma Olomouc clean sheet | 31% |
| Mladá Boleslav clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sigma Olomouc is the model's most likely outcome at
51%. Sigma Olomouc are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Sigma Olomouc vs Mladá Boleslav — FAQ
Who will win Sigma Olomouc vs Mladá Boleslav?
Our statistical model makes Sigma Olomouc the most likely result at 51%. Full probabilities: Sigma Olomouc 51%, draw 25%, Mladá Boleslav 24%.
Will both teams score in Sigma Olomouc vs Mladá Boleslav?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Sigma Olomouc vs Mladá Boleslav?
Expected goals are 1.69 for Sigma Olomouc and 1.16 for Mladá Boleslav — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sigma Olomouc vs Mladá Boleslav?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Sigma Olomouc or draw is 74%.