Sint-Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière Prediction & Preview
Pro League (Belgium) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 18:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRO LEAGUE (BELGIUM)
Sint-Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière
Model pick: Sint-Truiden (51%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.63 – 0.9
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sint-Truiden | RAAL La Louvière |
|---|
| League position | #10 (5 pts) | #15 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.0 | 0.5 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.8 | 0.8 / 1.6 |
*Sint-Truiden shown at home, RAAL La Louvière shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sint-Truiden — last 5
DDWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
RAAL La Louvière — last 5
DLLLD
On the road: clean sheet 24% of the time; 61% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sint-Truiden (home) | RAAL La Louvière (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-0-2 in 2 (0.5 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 61% |
| Top scorer | Ryotaro Ito (8) | – |
Pro League (Belgium) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.89
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Pro League (Belgium) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.63 vs 0.9):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Sint-Truiden or draw (1X) | 79% |
| Double chance — RAAL La Louvière or draw (X2) | 45% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| Sint-Truiden clean sheet | 41% |
| RAAL La Louvière clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sint-Truiden is the model's most likely outcome at
51%. Sint-Truiden are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Sint-Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière — FAQ
Who will win Sint-Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière?
Our statistical model makes Sint-Truiden the most likely result at 51%. Full probabilities: Sint-Truiden 51%, draw 26%, RAAL La Louvière 23%.
Will both teams score in Sint-Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Sint-Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière?
Expected goals are 1.63 for Sint-Truiden and 0.9 for RAAL La Louvière — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sint-Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for Sint-Truiden or draw is 79%.