Siofok vs Budafoki MTE Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Siofok vs Budafoki MTE
Model pick: Budafoki MTE (48%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.43 – 1.05
Total goals: 1.5
Over 2.5: 31%
Both teams score: 38%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Siofok | Budafoki MTE |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.0 | 1.0 / 3.8 |
*Siofok shown at home, Budafoki MTE shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Siofok — last 5
LL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Budafoki MTE — last 5
LLLLW
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 61% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Siofok (home) | Budafoki MTE (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 61% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.7
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.43 vs 1.05):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (24%) |
| Double chance — Siofok or draw (1X) | 49% |
| Double chance — Budafoki MTE or draw (X2) | 85% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 66% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 44% / 56% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 6% / 94% |
| Siofok clean sheet | 35% |
| Budafoki MTE clean sheet | 65% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Budafoki MTE is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Despite playing away, Budafoki MTE edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (69% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Siofok vs Budafoki MTE — FAQ
Who will win Siofok vs Budafoki MTE?
Our statistical model makes Budafoki MTE the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Siofok 17%, draw 35%, Budafoki MTE 48%.
Will both teams score in Siofok vs Budafoki MTE?
The model gives a 38% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Siofok vs Budafoki MTE?
Expected goals are 0.43 for Siofok and 1.05 for Budafoki MTE — about 1.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Siofok vs Budafoki MTE?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (24%). Double chance for Siofok or draw is 49%.