Siofok vs MTK Budapest II Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 12, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Siofok vs MTK Budapest II
Model pick: MTK Budapest II (92%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.76 – 7.17
Total goals: 8.9
Over 2.5: 76%
Both teams score: 64%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Siofok | MTK Budapest II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.0 | 6.0 / 1.0 |
*Siofok shown at home, MTK Budapest II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Siofok — last 5
LL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
MTK Budapest II — last 5
WW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Siofok (home) | MTK Budapest II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.7
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.76 vs 7.17):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-7 (6%) |
| Double chance — Siofok or draw (1X) | 6% |
| Double chance — MTK Budapest II or draw (X2) | 97% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 97% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 97% / 3% |
| Siofok clean sheet | 0% |
| MTK Budapest II clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
MTK Budapest II is the model's most likely outcome at
92%. Despite playing away, MTK Budapest II edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 8.9, this shapes as an open game (76% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Siofok vs MTK Budapest II — FAQ
Who will win Siofok vs MTK Budapest II?
Our statistical model makes MTK Budapest II the most likely result at 92%. Full probabilities: Siofok 4%, draw 5%, MTK Budapest II 92%.
Will both teams score in Siofok vs MTK Budapest II?
The model gives a 64% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Siofok vs MTK Budapest II?
Expected goals are 1.76 for Siofok and 7.17 for MTK Budapest II — about 8.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Siofok vs MTK Budapest II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-7 (6%). Double chance for Siofok or draw is 6%.