Sion vs BATE Prediction & Preview
Europa Conference League (Europe) · Jul 30, 2026 · kickoff 18:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE (EUROPE)
Sion vs BATE
Model pick: Sion (39%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.1 – 0.9
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 40%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sion | BATE |
|---|
| League position | #9 (0 pts) | #15 (9 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 0.3 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.0 / 1.4 | 0.6 / 1.0 |
*Sion shown at home, BATE shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sion — last 5
DWWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 24% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
BATE — last 5
LLDWD
On the road: clean sheet 43% of the time; 49% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sion (home) | BATE (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 0-4-3 in 7 (0.3 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 24% | 43% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 49% |
| Top scorer | Rilind Nivokazi (13) | – |
Europa Conference League (Europe) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.71
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Europa Conference League (Europe) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.1 vs 0.9):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Sion or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — BATE or draw (X2) | 60% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 69% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 59% / 41% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 14% / 86% |
| Sion clean sheet | 41% |
| BATE clean sheet | 33% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sion is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Sion are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (60% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Sion vs BATE — FAQ
Who will win Sion vs BATE?
Our statistical model makes Sion the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Sion 39%, draw 31%, BATE 30%.
Will both teams score in Sion vs BATE?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Sion vs BATE?
Expected goals are 1.1 for Sion and 0.9 for BATE — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sion vs BATE?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (15%). Double chance for Sion or draw is 71%.