Sion vs Noah Prediction & Preview
Europa Conference League (Europe) · Aug 13, 2026 · kickoff 18:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE (EUROPE)
Sion vs Noah
Model pick: Sion (60%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.7 – 1.44
Total goals: 4.1
Over 2.5: 68%
Both teams score: 63%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sion | Noah |
|---|
| League position | #5 (3 pts) | #4 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 3.0 / 0.0 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 1.4 | 2.0 / 0.8 |
*Sion shown at home, Noah shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sion — last 5
DLWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
Noah — last 5
WDWWD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sion (home) | Noah (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (3.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 0% |
| Top scorer | Rilind Nivokazi (13) | – |
Europa Conference League (Europe) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.94
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Europa Conference League (Europe) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.7 vs 1.44):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (8%) |
| Double chance — Sion or draw (1X) | 81% |
| Double chance — Noah or draw (X2) | 36% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 83% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 92% / 8% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 59% / 41% |
| Sion clean sheet | 24% |
| Noah clean sheet | 7% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sion is the model's most likely outcome at
60%. Sion are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.1, this shapes as an open game (68% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Sion vs Noah — FAQ
Who will win Sion vs Noah?
Our statistical model makes Sion the most likely result at 60%. Full probabilities: Sion 60%, draw 19%, Noah 21%.
Will both teams score in Sion vs Noah?
The model gives a 63% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Sion vs Noah?
Expected goals are 2.7 for Sion and 1.44 for Noah — about 4.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sion vs Noah?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (8%). Double chance for Sion or draw is 81%.