Sion vs Thun Prediction & Preview
Super League (Switzerland) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LEAGUE (SWITZERLAND)
Sion vs Thun
Model pick: Sion (49%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.61 – 1.59
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams score: 62%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sion | Thun |
|---|
| League position | #5 (6 pts) | #6 (6 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.3 / 1.3 | 3.0 / 2.7 |
| Win rate this season* | 67% | 67% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.8 / 2.6 | 2.8 / 3.0 |
*Sion shown at home, Thun shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sion — last 5
WWLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 24% of the time; 55% of home games go over 2.5.
Thun — last 5
LWLDW
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 66% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sion (home) | Thun (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-0-1 in 3 (2.3 / 1.3 goals per game) | 2-0-1 in 3 (3.0 / 2.7 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 24% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 66% |
| Top scorer | Rilind Nivokazi (13) | Christopher Ibayi (10) |
Super League (Switzerland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.06
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Super League (Switzerland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.61 vs 1.59):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Sion or draw (1X) | 62% |
| Double chance — Thun or draw (X2) | 61% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 83% / 17% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 40% / 60% |
| Sion clean sheet | 20% |
| Thun clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sion is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. Sion are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (58% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Sion vs Thun — FAQ
Who will win Sion vs Thun?
Our statistical model makes Sion the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Sion 49%, draw 23%, Thun 27%.
Will both teams score in Sion vs Thun?
The model gives a 62% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Sion vs Thun?
Expected goals are 1.61 for Sion and 1.59 for Thun — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sion vs Thun?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Sion or draw is 62%.