Sion vs Vaduz Prediction & Preview
Super League (Switzerland) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LEAGUE (SWITZERLAND)
Sion vs Vaduz
Model pick: Sion (60%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.86 – 1.0
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sion | Vaduz |
|---|
| League position | #5 (3 pts) | #10 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 3.0 / 0.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.8 / 1.0 | 2.2 / 1.2 |
*Sion shown at home, Vaduz shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sion — last 5
WDLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
Vaduz — last 5
WWLWL
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sion (home) | Vaduz (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (3.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 55% |
| Top scorer | Rilind Nivokazi (13) | – |
Super League (Switzerland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.05
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 61%
Use these Super League (Switzerland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.86 vs 1.0):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (11%) |
| Double chance — Sion or draw (1X) | 80% |
| Double chance — Vaduz or draw (X2) | 42% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 32% / 68% |
| Sion clean sheet | 37% |
| Vaduz clean sheet | 16% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sion is the model's most likely outcome at
60%. Sion are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Sion vs Vaduz — FAQ
Who will win Sion vs Vaduz?
Our statistical model makes Sion the most likely result at 60%. Full probabilities: Sion 60%, draw 22%, Vaduz 18%.
Will both teams score in Sion vs Vaduz?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Sion vs Vaduz?
Expected goals are 1.86 for Sion and 1.0 for Vaduz — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sion vs Vaduz?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (11%). Double chance for Sion or draw is 80%.