SK Beveren vs OH Leuven Prediction & Preview
Pro League (Belgium) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 17:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRO LEAGUE (BELGIUM)
SK Beveren vs OH Leuven
Model pick: SK Beveren (40%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.13 – 1.53
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| SK Beveren | OH Leuven |
|---|
| League position | #12 (3 pts) | #17 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 0.0 | 1.0 / 3.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 2.0 | 1.8 / 3.6 |
*SK Beveren shown at home, OH Leuven shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
SK Beveren — last 5
WLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 63% of home games go over 2.5.
OH Leuven — last 5
DLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 58% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | SK Beveren (home) | OH Leuven (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (1.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 3.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 58% |
| Top scorer | – | Sory Kaba (6) |
Pro League (Belgium) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.89
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Pro League (Belgium) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.13 vs 1.53):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — SK Beveren or draw (1X) | 54% |
| Double chance — OH Leuven or draw (X2) | 72% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| SK Beveren clean sheet | 22% |
| OH Leuven clean sheet | 32% |
🎯 Our Verdict
SK Beveren is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. SK Beveren are backed at home, where they average 1.7 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ SK Beveren vs OH Leuven — FAQ
Who will win SK Beveren vs OH Leuven?
Our statistical model makes SK Beveren the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: SK Beveren 40%, draw 26%, OH Leuven 34%.
Will both teams score in SK Beveren vs OH Leuven?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in SK Beveren vs OH Leuven?
Expected goals are 1.13 for SK Beveren and 1.53 for OH Leuven — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in SK Beveren vs OH Leuven?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for SK Beveren or draw is 54%.